By being more precise in what is uncertain, the weather forecasts will become more reliable. A new method for forecasting the weather is now being developed at Uni Research.
PhD candidate Torge Lorenz is busy improving the short-term weather forecasts, i.e. weather forecasts up to two days.
“The forecasts can be used for offshore wind energy, marine operations and in several other areas,” explains Lorenz.
Covering the uncertainties
Together with Met.no and Statoil among others, he is developing the new weather forecasting method. He is doing this by working on a method that is under development at the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) and transferring this to short-term forecasts.
“We use a collection of model runs instead of just one and by doing so we better cover the uncertainties in the forecast,” explains Torge Lorenz.
His mentor, research leader Idar Barstad at Uni Research, elaborates:
“This will be a more physically consistent way of forecasting the weather. Previously the estimate for uncertainty in the weather was based on a less physical method but now ECMWF has switched to a new method which provides a more precise method for uncertainty,” says Barstad.
Go deeper with Bing News on:
Weather forecasts
- Weather Forecast: Sunshine and warm temps for the remainder of the weekend
Sunshine will continue to persist on throughout the rest of Saturday here in Rochester. Southeast of Rochester, near the Finger Lakes, there could be enough instability ...
- FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Even warmer temps ahead Sunday with more sunshine
But rain remains out of the forecast for now. Some larger scale models hint that ... However any sort of heavy rain is likely to stay north of the region and allow the overall drier weather to ...
- After morning fog, here's the latest weather forecast for the 2024 PGA Championship
A blanket of fog has already caused delays Saturday morning for Day 3 of the 2024 PGA Championship. Here's what else is on the forecast for the remainder of the tournament: ...
- Saturday, May 18 morning weather forecast
YOU. FROM OMAHA’S WEATHER LEADER, METEOROLOGIST CAITLIN HARVEY WITH YOUR ACCURATE WEATHER NOW FORECAST. WELL, IF YOU PASS THE CLOUDS THIS MORNING. BUT BEAUTIFUL SUNRISE SHAPING UP FOR EASTERN NEBRASKA ...
- Latest Preakness weather forecast: How long will rain last in Baltimore on Saturday?
High 68F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 100%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch. The forecast calls for rain until 8 p.m., then cloudy. Low 63F. Winds light and variable. The last time the ...
Go deeper with Google Headlines on:
Weather forecasts
[google_news title=”” keyword=”Weather forecasts” num_posts=”5″ blurb_length=”0″ show_thumb=”left”]
Go deeper with Bing News on:
Forecasting weather
- Weather Forecast: Sunshine and warm temps for the remainder of the weekend
Sunshine will continue to persist on throughout the rest of Saturday here in Rochester. Southeast of Rochester, near the Finger Lakes, there could be enough instability ...
- FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Even warmer temps ahead Sunday with more sunshine
But rain remains out of the forecast for now. Some larger scale models hint that ... However any sort of heavy rain is likely to stay north of the region and allow the overall drier weather to ...
- After morning fog, here's the latest weather forecast for the 2024 PGA Championship
A blanket of fog has already caused delays Saturday morning for Day 3 of the 2024 PGA Championship. Here's what else is on the forecast for the remainder of the tournament: ...
- Latest Preakness weather forecast: How long will rain last in Baltimore on Saturday?
High 68F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 100%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch. The forecast calls for rain until 8 p.m., then cloudy. Low 63F. Winds light and variable. The last time the ...
- Weather Forecast: Showers and Storms Around This Weekend
Extended: Rain chances gradually go down into next week as temperatures creep up.
Go deeper with Google Headlines on:
Forecasting weather
[google_news title=”” keyword=”forecasting weather” num_posts=”5″ blurb_length=”0″ show_thumb=”left”]
