Software developed at the University of Bonn can accurately predict future actions
Computer scientists from the University of Bonn have developed software that can look a few minutes into the future: The program first learns the typical sequence of actions, such as cooking, from video sequences. Based on this knowledge, it can then accurately predict in new situations what the chef will do at which point in time. Researchers will present their findings at the world’s largest Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, which will be held June 19-21 in Salt Lake City, USA.
The perfect butler, as every fan of British social drama knows, has a special ability: He senses his employer’s wishes before they have even been uttered. The working group of Prof. Dr. Jürgen Gall wants to teach computers something similar: “We want to predict the timing and duration of activities – minutes or even hours before they happen”, he explains.
A kitchen robot, for example, could then pass the ingredients as soon as they are needed, pre-heat the oven in time – and in the meantime warn the chef if he is about to forget a preparation step. The automatic vacuum cleaner meanwhile knows that it has no business in the kitchen at that time, and instead takes care of the living room.
We humans are very good at anticipating the actions of others. For computers however, this discipline is still in its infancy. The researchers at the Institute of Computer Science at the University of Bonn are now able to announce a first success: They have developed self-learning software that can estimate the timing and duration of future activities with astonishing accuracy for periods of several minutes.
Training data: four hours of salad videos
The training data used by the scientists included 40 videos in which performers prepare different salads. Each of the recordings was around 6 minutes long and contained an average of 20 different actions. The videos also contained precise details of what time the action started and how long it took.
The computer “watched” these salad videos totaling around four hours. This way, the algorithm learned which actions typically follow each other during this task and how long they last. This is by no means trivial: After all, every chef has his own approach. Additionally, the sequence may vary depending on the recipe.
“Then we tested how successful the learning process was”, explains Gall. “For this we confronted the software with videos that it had not seen before.” At least the new short films fit into the context: They also showed the preparation of a salad. For the test, the computer was told what is shown in the first 20 or 30 percent of one of the new videos. On this basis it then had to predict what would happen during the rest of the film.
That worked amazingly well. Gall: “Accuracy was over 40 percent for short forecast periods, but then dropped the more the algorithm had to look into the future.” For activities that were more than three minutes in the future, the computer was still right in 15 percent of cases. However, the prognosis was only considered correct if both the activity and its timing were correctly predicted.
Gall and his colleagues want the study to be understood only as a first step into the new field of activity prediction. Especially since the algorithm performs noticeably worse if it has to recognize on its own what happens in the first part of the video, instead of being told. Because this analysis is never 100 percent correct – Gall speaks of “noisy” data. “Our process does work with it”, he says. “But unfortunately nowhere near as well.”
The Latest on: Activity prediction
[google_news title=”” keyword=”activity prediction” num_posts=”10″ blurb_length=”0″ show_thumb=”left”]
via Google News
The Latest on: Activity prediction
- Thanksgiving Day weather gives way to rain in weekend forecaston November 24, 2022 at 3:56 am
However, the sunny forecast also includes an air quality warning. The National Weather Service has issued a Code Orange air quality alert for the Susquehanna Valley, warning sensitive people to avoid ...
- Numerology Number 8 Predictions Today, November 24, 2022: Career front looks fruitful!on November 24, 2022 at 3:35 am
Prediction - On November 24 ... Chances of profit will increase. Economic activities will accelerate.You will bring clarity in relations. You will keep continuity and ease. Balance and power will be ...
- D.C.-area forecast: A thankfully sunny Thanksgiving before rain chances Friday and Sundayon November 24, 2022 at 2:00 am
Perfectly pleasant Thanksgiving weather graces the Washington area today thanks to a hearty slice of high pressure. But, as attention turns to holiday shopping, the first of two weather systems ...
- Uniswap Price Prediction November 24 – Can UNI Return To $10on November 24, 2022 at 1:59 am
Uniswap price is witnessing a fierce battle between buyers and sellers. A win for bulls may see a recovery that may eventually reach !10 ...
- First Alert Forecast: not a holiday weekend washout, but a couple of rain chance spikeson November 23, 2022 at 11:30 pm
Happy Thanksgiving! Your First Alert Forecast features holiday weekend rain chances as a storm system streaks into and through the Cape Fear Region: 20% for Thanksgiving Day, 40% for Thursday night, ...
- Lucky Block Price Prediction: LBLOCK Regains Higher Supporton November 23, 2022 at 8:58 pm
Market Capitalization for Lucky Block: $0.538 million LBLOCK Flowing Supply: —- Lucky Block Total Supply: 3.65 billion Lucky Block Ranking on Coinmarketcap: #4548 Important Price Levels: Resistance: ...
- Pac-12 football College Wire predictions for Rivalry Weekon November 23, 2022 at 6:31 pm
Ducks_Wire wants to battle Trojans Wire in the #Pac12 title game, but Oregon will likely need to beat Oregon State. Who wins?
- Mild Thursday forecast makes for a great-looking Thanksgivingon November 23, 2022 at 4:59 pm
A weak cold front will cross the area Thursday night with a few showers. A better chance for some wet weather comes on Sunday to end the long holiday weekend.
- Gully erosion prediction tools can lead to better land managementon November 23, 2022 at 1:35 pm
Soil erosion is a significant problem for agricultural production, impacting soil quality and causing pollutants to enter waterways. Among all stages of soil erosion, gully erosion is the most severe ...
via Bing News