
Torge Lorenz (Left) and Idar Barstad think a range of different businesses will benefit from new and improved weather forecasts. Photo: Camilla Aadland
By being more precise in what is uncertain, the weather forecasts will become more reliable. A new method for forecasting the weather is now being developed at Uni Research.
PhD candidate Torge Lorenz is busy improving the short-term weather forecasts, i.e. weather forecasts up to two days.
“The forecasts can be used for offshore wind energy, marine operations and in several other areas,” explains Lorenz.
Covering the uncertainties
Together with Met.no and Statoil among others, he is developing the new weather forecasting method. He is doing this by working on a method that is under development at the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) and transferring this to short-term forecasts.
“We use a collection of model runs instead of just one and by doing so we better cover the uncertainties in the forecast,” explains Torge Lorenz.
His mentor, research leader Idar Barstad at Uni Research, elaborates:
“This will be a more physically consistent way of forecasting the weather. Previously the estimate for uncertainty in the weather was based on a less physical method but now ECMWF has switched to a new method which provides a more precise method for uncertainty,” says Barstad.
Go deeper with Bing News on:
Weather forecasts
- Warm weather approaches, cold spring forecast: Environment Canadaon February 24, 2021 at 2:31 pm
Environment Canada is predicting a near normal spring, with a chance for cooler temperatures than normal, in their probablistic forecast. The forecast, which was issued on Feb. 1, show the ...
- Businesses prepare as warmer weather brings out more peopleon February 24, 2021 at 2:27 pm
The wait is over and warm weather is gracing our presence. “It’s what we wait for all year,” Aaron Teitelbaum, owner of Herbie’s restaurant, said. “I mean it doesn’t matter whether it’s a covid year ...
- First Forecast Weather February 24, 2021 (Tonight)on February 24, 2021 at 2:07 pm
Clouds decrease overnight.
- First Forecast Weather February 25, 2021 (Today)on February 24, 2021 at 2:01 pm
A little cooler today, but still plenty of sunshine.
- Chicago Weather: A Few Clouds, But Mostly Mildon February 24, 2021 at 1:54 pm
CBS 2 meteorologist Robb Ellis has a look at the forecast.
Go deeper with Google Headlines on:
Weather forecasts
Go deeper with Bing News on:
Forecasting weather
- Warm weather approaches, cold spring forecast: Environment Canadaon February 24, 2021 at 2:31 pm
Environment Canada is predicting a near normal spring, with a chance for cooler temperatures than normal, in their probablistic forecast. The forecast, which was issued on Feb. 1, show the ...
- First Forecast Weather February 24, 2021 (Tonight)on February 24, 2021 at 2:07 pm
Clouds decrease overnight.
- First Forecast Weather February 25, 2021 (Today)on February 24, 2021 at 2:01 pm
A little cooler today, but still plenty of sunshine.
- February 24, 2 PM Weather Forecast Updateon February 24, 2021 at 10:21 am
As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your ...
- Weather Forecast: Mostly dry Wednesday, Snow returns Thursdayon February 24, 2021 at 7:45 am
A brief dry period will set up Wednesday with mostly to partly sunny skies. Our next system will then bring snow back for Thursday and Friday.